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Riding New York’s historic heater: Bet Knicks money line, two Cleveland Cavaliers players in Game 4

It’s a matter of “when,” not “if” the Cleveland Cavaliers’ season ends. They are down 3-0 in the 2026 Eastern Conference Finals and will try to stave off elimination in front of their home fans on Monday vs. New York Knicks.

New York has been crushing teams in the 2026 NBA Playoffs. The Knicks have won 10 straight games and have the best point differential (+225) during a 10-game stretch in regular season and postseason history.

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In a way, Cleveland took money from the betting market before Games 2 and 3. Despite blowing Game 1, the Cavs closed as +6 underdogs in Game 2 after opening at +5.5. Then, they open as -2.5 favorites for Game 3 at home and close at -3.5.

Cleveland Cavaliers SG Donovan Mitchell is upset after a turnover against the New York Knicks during Game 3 of the 2026 Eastern Conference Finals at Rocket Mortgage Arena in Ohio. (Photos by David Richard/Imagn)

However, it seems the market has given up on the Cavaliers, as they are +2.5 underdogs with their backs against the wall in Game 4. Will Cleveland live to fight another day, or does NYK win the NBA Finals on Monday?

Let’s talk.

New York Knicks at Cleveland Cavaliers Game 4 Bet Slip

  • New York money line (-140) at Caesars Sportsbook, risking 1.4 units (u).
  • The Knicks wing Mikal Bridges OVER 14.5 points (-115) at FanDuel, it risks 0.58u.
  • Cleveland C Jarrett Allen OVER 12.5 points (-112) at FanDuel, it risks 0.52u.

I’m done beating around the bush; the Knicks swept the Cavaliers. Did you see the final minutes of Game 3? The Cavs are very successful. They are cooked, no matter what rubbish head coach Kenny Atkinson talks about “shot quality”.

As I wrote in my Eastern Conference Finals preview, Cleveland doesn’t have an answer for Jalen Brunson. The Cavaliers need Donovan Mitchell and James Harden to play well to win this series, and Brunson can hunt for one of them on defense.

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Meanwhile, New York has elite perimeter defenders, such as Mikal Bridges, OG Anunoby and Josh Hart to guard Mitchell and Harden.

That said, since I’m pretty sure NYK shuts down the Cavs on Monday and doesn’t want to mess with the spread, I’m taking KNICKS MONEYLINE (-140) for game 4.

Mikal Bridges OVER 14.5 points

New York Knicks forward Mikal Bridges shoots while guarded by Cleveland Cavaliers guard James Harden at Rocket Arena.

New York Knicks wing Mikal Bridges shoots over Cleveland Cavaliers PG James Harden in Game 3 of the conference finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs at Rocket Arena in Ohio. (Photos by Scott Galvin/Imagn)

I gave New York a -1.5 pre-series spread, so I’m betting “house money” because the odds of Cleveland getting this in Game 7 are slim. Less than 1%. Bridges was duly caught by not showing up in Games 1-5 vs. Atlanta Hawks in the first round, but has played since.

From Game 6 of the Atlanta series to Game 3 of the conference finals, Bridges averaged 19.1 points on 69.1% shooting. He scored 18+ points every game in this series on 75.9% true shooting (.711/.500/1.000).

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Also, Harden and Mitchell, who are defensive bills, spent a lot of time defending bridges in Game 3, and destroyed them. Bridges went 7-for-8 with Harden and Mitchell guarding him.

Jarrett Allen OVER 12.5 points

Cleveland Cavaliers center Jarrett Allen shoots the basketball during a game

Cleveland Cavaliers C Jarrett Allen gets a layup against the New York Knicks in Game 3 of the 2026 Eastern Conference Finals at Rocket Arena. (Photos by David Richard/Imagn)

Allen seems to be the only Cavalier with a heart. He scored 13+ points in Games 2 and 3 and averaged a team-best 137 in the conference finals. Also, Harden is more likely to pass than shoot, and Allen could catch a few alley-oops.

Finally, Allen has the second-highest offensive rebounding rate in this series and could get an easy rebound if the Knicks chase Cleveland’s shooters at the three-point line.

Prediction: Knicks 114, Cavaliers 101.

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Follow me on X @Geoffery-Clarkand check mine The OutKick Bets Podcast with more betting content and random insults.



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